Stock Picking for profit
Simon Thompson - Small Cap Journalist of the Year 2014, 2015 and 2016 supported by London Stock Exchange
The holy grail of investing is to be able to beat the market. Many market experts have tried, but very few have succeeded over the long-run. So it’s well worth taking note when someone not only manages to produce enviable results, but consistently too.
Simon Thompson has an outstanding record of stock picking. His 2012 annual bargain shares portfolio in Investors Chronicle produced a total return of 31.9 per cent, only marginally behind the return on Fidelity UK Smaller Caps Fund, the best-performing small-cap fund. In the final quarter of 2012, the 24 recommendations Simon made on shares, indices and traded options in Investors Chronicle produced an average gain of 16.6 per cent by mid-January 2013.
The advice to magazine readers to buy the UK housebuilding sector at the start of 2013 also proved an astute call: the sector rallied over 20 per cent in the following three months. Simon also follows overseas financial markets. His portfolio of US stocks increased in value by 19.4 per cent on an offer-to-bid basis between the end of September 2012 and late January 2013, handsomely rewarding readers who followed his advice.
In Stock Picking for Profit, Simon Thompson reveals in 20 detailed chapters the investment techniques he employs that have produced substantial financial gains for investors following his share recommendations in Investors Chronicle. In no fewer than 32 case studies, Simon provides a step-by-step guide to explain the rationale for making these winning investments and outlines the key lessons to learn so that you too can implement exactly the same techniques in your own stock picking.
Stock Picking for Profit is a book that offers the opportunity to learn valuable lessons from one of the most knowledgeable financial experts in the London stock markets.
“Long experience teaches me that there is no single magic approach to stock picking. Different techniques or valuation methods have different odds of success at different points in the stock market cycle. Stock Picking for Profit describes how a skilled stock picker performs his magic as market conditions change. It is an invaluable tool for investors seeking to improve their own performance.”
David Schwartz
Stock market historian and Financial Times columnist of the acclaimed Trader’s Diary
Extract from the Introduction to Stock Picking for Profit
“It is fair to say that my investment style is that of a classic value investor. I look for companies being valued well below net asset value or where the sum-of-the-parts valuations reveal hidden value. But you have to know what to look out for to pick out the winners from the losers.
Another benefit of my balance-sheet-based approach to stock picking is that it uncovers investment opportunities that are also potential bid targets. In a chapter dedicated to Takeover targets and merger arbitrage, I reveal what to look for in bid targets and show how to play the merger arbitrage game profitably.
Ultimately, it doesn't matter how lowly valued a company is, you need a spark for the share price to re-rate. That’s why it pays to know the important signals to look out for to identify early stage recovery plays. Moreover, when a company’s operational performance starts to gain momentum, significant gains can be made by riding on the coattails of an earnings upgrade cycle, but only if you know the tell-tale signs.”
Contents of Stock Picking for Profit
Chapter 1 20 golden rules to profitable stock picking
Chapter 2 Cash is king
Chapter 3 Balance sheet strength
Chapter 4 Capitalising on capital returns
Chapter 5 Sum-of-the-parts valuations
Chapter 6 Takeover targets and merger arbitrage
Chapter 7 Tell-tale signs of recovery plays
Chapter 8 Riding ‘earnings upgrade cycles’
Chapter 9 Follow the leader - director share deals
Chapter 10 Technical analysis
Chapter 11 Assessing risk
Chapter 12 Market trends
Chapter 13 Small cap marvels
Chapter 14 Contrarian investing
Chapter 15 Bargain shares
Chapter 16 Portfolio management
Chapter 17 Quantitative easing
Chapter 18 Inflation
Chapter 19 Stock picking like Warren Buffett
Chapter 20 Top 20 tips to successful investing
Successful Stock Picking Strategies
Many market experts have tried to beat the market, but very few have succeeded in the long run. So when someone manages to stock pick consistently well, then it pays to take note as readers of my last book, Stock Picking for Profit, will testify.
Simon Thompson has an outstanding record of stock picking. His 2012 annual Bargain Shares Portfolio in Investors Chronicle produced a total return of 31.9 per cent, only slightly behind the return on Fidelity UK Smaller Caps Fund, the best-performing small-cap fund. It was no fluke as the following year Simon’s annual portfolio of small-cap picks performed even better, producing a total return of 36.4 per cent, massively outperforming the 10 per cent return on a FTSE All-share index tracker fund.
In more recent years, his 2016 Bargain Shares Portfolio increased in value by 46 per cent over two years; and his 2017 Bargain Shares Portfolio shot up by 30 per cent in only 12 months.
Simon Thompson reveals the investment techniques he employs and which have produced substantial gains for investors following his share recommendations in Investors Chronicle. In no fewer than 26 comprehensive case studies, Simon provides a step-by-step guide behind the rationale for making these winning investments and outlines key stock picking strategies so that you too can follow the same techniques.
Simon Thompson was awarded the prestigious Small Cap Journalist of the Year Award at The Small Cap Awards in 2014, 2015 and 2016.
Extract from the Introduction to Successful Stock Picking Strategies
“It’s important to consider the bigger picture when investing, and not be left behind by new technological developments. Riding off the coat-tails of companies that are transforming the way we live and work can prove a very profitable investment strategy indeed. For instance, in my 2017 Bargain Shares Portfolio for Investors Chronicle I included shares in a closed-end investment trust, Manchester & London, a company with a distinct bias to the technology sector.
The fact that Manchester & London’s share price rallied 66 per cent in less than 12 months highlights the gains that can be made. That’s why I have dedicated a whole chapter highlighting specific areas I target for technology investments, and produced five detailed case studies to reveal the company specific drivers I am looking for to propel operational outperformance, and re-rate the share price.
Corporate activity has been a continuing theme amongst the small-cap companies I follow too. No fewer than 21 of the small-cap companies I have recommended have exited the London stock market in the past four years, the vast majority of which have rewarded shareholders handsomely. It’s no coincidence these companies were taken over as they exhibited specific characteristics.”
Contents of Successful Stock Picking Strategies
Chapter 1 Top 10 tips to successful investing
Chapter 2 Red flags
Chapter 3 Exploiting enterprise valuations
Chapter 4 Understand earn-outs
Chapter 5 Profit from Initial Public Offerings
Chapter 6 Embrace new technology
Chapter 7 Profit from corporate activity
Chapter 8 Price-to-book value bargains
Chapter 9 Uncovering hidden value
Chapter 10 Riding earnings momentum
Chapter 11 Stock screening for profit
Chapter 12 Profit from operational gearing
Chapter 13 The Holy Grail
Chapter 14 High yield earnings momentum stock screen
Chapter 15 Improving financial returns